With guidance from the WFaS stakeholder process, the Fast-Track Analysis will compile estimates of the future availability of water resources in space and time. It will also assess changes in demand across sectors under various scenarios of climate change using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) framework.
The project is intended to enhance current scientific understanding of global water challenges, including major related uncertainties. It will use qualitative descriptions, quantitative comparative projections, as well as expert opinion and analysis of available information.
Multiple models will be used throughout the assessment process at project sector activity levels, in particular of the agriculture and energy sectors. Hydrological models will help estimate water resource availability and quantify water demand in response to demographic and economic development. The analysis will also estimate water resources variability in different scenarios and associated risks to human and ecosystem water security.
Major outputs from the Initiative will be released to correspond with the timing of the upcoming World Water Forums. At the seventh World Water Forum in Korea in 2015, a report will be presented analyzing the first set of water futures scenarios, the limitations and trade-offs they may impose on future plans in water-dependent sectors, and the overall risks to water, energy, and food security.
Last edited: 31 August 2015
01.01.2014 - 31.12.2015
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313